Interpretation library

Read the record without turning process signals into operating capacity.

Four long-form guides isolate the category errors that most often overstate or understate AI-compute infrastructure: collapsing state transitions, crossing registers, assigning the whole chain to one actor and treating a public-record gap as an outcome.

Open the guidesReview the evidence method

Reading protocol

A common structure for decision-grade interpretation.

  1. 01

    Start with the executive summary. The conclusion, boundary and risk are visible before the archive detail.

  2. 02

    Use the diagram as a model. It organizes evidence classes; it does not create missing observations.

  3. 03

    Inspect rival tests. Contrary evidence determines whether a stronger explanation survives.

  4. 04

    End with maintenance. Reopen only when a specified evidence delta appears.

Long-form reports

Four recurring analytical problems

Each guide is written for both decision readers and record owners, with a navigable argument, evidence file and bibliography.

02

Four registers

Primary risk · False equivalence

Why the megawatts do not add up

How load, supply, money and AI-share measures become misleading when collapsed into one total.

Decision question
Do these quantities share a denominator?
Report structure
Summary · model · ceiling · rivals · evidence · maintenance
03

C7–C10 fork

Primary risk · Single-actor attribution

Who controls each conversion step

How companies, governments, utilities, regulators, courts and suppliers control different links.

Decision question
Who controls this transition?
Report structure
Summary · model · ceiling · rivals · evidence · maintenance
04

C18–C20

Primary risk · Invented downstream bridge

Where the public record goes dark

Why operating status does not by itself establish contracted use, measured utilization, revenue or sustained economic capacity.

Decision question
What remains publicly observable?
Report structure
Summary · model · ceiling · rivals · evidence · maintenance

Reading boundary

Reference journalism, not a forecast or advisory product.

Explainers synthesize the locked archive and carry claim IDs, source IDs, ceilings, contrary evidence, negative findings and update triggers. They do not rank projects, estimate market totals or predict outcomes.