01
AI compute infrastructure · public-record intelligence
Release 2026.06Evidence cutoff 18 Jun 2026
Trace infrastructure claims from announcement to observable economic use.
The Ledger separates intent, permission, service, construction, energization, operating compute and economic observation. Every selected record retains its exact object type, state basis, unit boundary, sources, contrary evidence and update conditions.
- Exact statesNo inferred progress between C-states
- Typed objectsProjects, cohorts, forecasts and frameworks stay distinct
- Bounded figuresNo synthetic capacity total
02
Register integrity
Load, supply, money and AI-share require explicit bridges.03
Source integrity
Claims retain source IDs, exact locators and contrary evidence.04
Update integrity
Records move only when a defined evidence trigger is met.Conversion-chain orientation
Twenty-two states. Five evidence zones. No shortcut between them.
The C-state ladder is a controlled vocabulary, not a prediction that every project follows one linear path. Each code states only what the cited public record establishes for a bounded scope.
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01
C0–C6Intent, site and permission
From concept or announcement through a bounded site, land position and land-use approval.
C0Concept or rumorC1Public announcementC2Site identifiedC3Land option or negotiationC4Land controlledC5Zoning or land-use applicationC6Zoning or land-use approval
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02
C7–C10Service-model fork
Requests, accepted studies, tariff pathways and executed obligations remain separate claims.
C7Utility service or interconnection requestC8Study or review acceptedC9Tariff or service pathway identifiedC10Agreement executed or obligation recorded
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03
C11–C17Physical delivery
Funded upgrades, construction, equipment, energization, commissioning, installed IT and operating clusters.
C11Network, generation, or facility upgrades fundedC12Construction startedC13Major electrical and cooling equipment deliveredC14Grid or onsite supply energizedC15Facility commissionedC16IT capacity installedC17Compute cluster operating
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04
C18–C20Observed economic use
Customer use, utilization or revenue effects, and sustained economic compute capacity require distinct evidence.
C18Contracted customer use observedC19Utilization or revenue effect observedC20Sustained economic compute capacity
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05
C21Changed status
Delay, cancellation, downsizing, supersession or repurposing is recorded without erasing the prior history.
C21Delayed, cancelled, downsized, superseded, or repurposed
Also controlled: MIXED, N/A and UNKNOWN prevent aggregate, framework and missing-public-evidence records from being forced into a project state.
Choose the working view
A clear entry point for each evidence task.
The same record can support executive orientation, analytical verification and editorial maintenance without changing its evidentiary ceiling.
01
Decision makersSee where a public claim stops.
Use bounded case clusters and interpretation guides to distinguish an announced plan from delivered, operating or economically observed capacity.
02
Analysts and researchersInspect the underlying record.
Work from typed objects, exact state handling, raw units, claim ceilings, contrary evidence, negative findings and source locators.
03
Editors and record ownersUnderstand what can be updated.
Check evidence standards, controlled terminology, review cutoffs and the triggers required before a record can move or a claim can strengthen.
Four-register discipline
Every figure stays inside its evidentiary register.
Movement between registers requires an explicit, source-stated bridge. Missing bridge data remains unknown rather than being imputed.
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R01
Load
Requests, forecasts, design power, energized load, average MW and energy remain distinct.
CLM-0005CLM-0033 -
R02
Supply
Service model, deliverability, generation and physical inputs stay attached to their own pathway.
CLM-0053 -
R03
Money
Capex, backlog, RPO, contracted power, revenue and utilization are not bridge-equivalent.
CLM-0180 -
R04
AI-share
Total data-center measures are not AI-only unless the source supplies the cut.
CLM-0029
Selected case clusters
Read the bottleneck, not just the announcement.
Each case follows the interaction between permissions, service pathways, physical delivery and the strongest claim the available evidence permits.
Federal large-load interconnection rulemaking — RM26-4
RM26-4 was an active federal proceeding scheduled for June 18 action; no post-meeting controlling outcome was located at cutoff.
- Highest verified state
- RULEMAKING / AGENDA
- Claim boundary
- No final rule, obligation, schedule or project-access outcome.
CASE-08-02PJM / Pennsylvania
PJM co-location and Susquehanna/AWS contractual cluster
- Highest state
- C10
- Confidence
- HIGH C10 / NONE C14–C20
CASE-08-03Texas / ERCOT
ERCOT aggregate pipeline with Abilene named subcase
- Highest state
- C17 company assertion for initial phase
- Confidence
- HIGH separation / MEDIUM-HIGH named state
CASE-08-04Virginia / Northern Virginia
Virginia large-load tariff and local permission cluster
- Highest state
- C21 legal invalidation for Digital Gateway; C9 tariff framework
- Confidence
- HIGH legal/framework / LOW project service
Interpretation guides
Four boundaries that determine what the record can support.
Use these short guides before comparing records, adding megawatts or treating a company-level statement as site-level evidence.
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01
Conversion statesFrom announcement to economic capacity
What every transition establishes — and what it still does not prove.
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02
Unit boundariesWhy megawatts do not add up
Why load, supply, money and AI-share figures cannot be collapsed into one total.
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03
Distributed controlWho controls the conversion chain
Which actor controls each permission, contract, physical input and observation.
→ -
04
Why operating compute is not the same as observed customer use or sustained economics.
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Publication boundary
A disciplined evidence product, not a census, ranking or outcome forecast.
The selected records are designed to test conversion claims and evidence gaps. They do not represent total market capacity, a complete project universe or a probability-weighted forecast.
Review the evidence standardCLM-0038 · interpretation
Pass 02 did not locate a unified authoritative public registry that reconciles all U.S. data-center projects through announcement, request, approval, construction, energization, commissioning, operation, utilization, and economic output; the project ledger is a bounded evidence sample, not a national census.
- Claim ceiling
- Bounded sample only; no national project count or aggregate operating MW.
- Evidence
- Tier B · HIGH for absence from searched public sources; not proof none exists
- Locator
- National data limitations and large-load forecasting literature; search protocol recorded in Pass 02 metadata
CLM-0207 · interpretation
The case portfolio supports a modular permission stack controlled by different actors; no single regulator, utility, company or locality controls the full conversion chain.
- Claim ceiling
- Portfolio-level institutional finding; does not establish identical sequencing in every jurisdiction.
- Evidence
- Tier A · HIGH mechanism
- Locator
- Federal, RTO, state commission, court and project records